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Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania KGV Park, Hobart
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mamic A.
77' Event
Johnson T.
90' Event
Vilar R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Glenorchy Knights and Launceston United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glenorchy Knights.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Glenorchy Knights
15%
Draws
0%
Launceston United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glenorchy Knights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Launceston United haven't matched Glenorchy Knights's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Glenorchy Knights taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Glenorchy Knights here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 15%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenorchy Knights Launceston United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 1.53 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston United
2:1
May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights
0:4
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights
3:5
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston United
3:0
May 10, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston United
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vilar R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Launceston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenorchy Knights 84 / 100
Launceston United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenorchy Knights Launceston United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenorchy Knights Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenorchy Knights found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Launceston United let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Launceston United's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Glenorchy Knights VS Launceston United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenorchy Knights

(Home)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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Launceston United

(Away)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
22 Jul
Launceston City
4 : 2
Launceston United
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
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