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Glentoran vs Ballymena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Glentoran host Ballymena in the NIFL Premiership. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ballymena have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Glentoran have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.74. Head-to-head, Glentoran have won 5 to Ballymena's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.25) back Glentoran to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Glentoran
30%
Draws
31%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glentoran come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Glentoran here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 19%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Ballymena
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glentoran
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glentoran
0:2
Mar 4, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 31 / 100
Ballymena 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ballymena has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Glentoran has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Ballymena
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
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Ballymena

(Away)
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
4 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)