Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Russell J.
43'
43'
Fisher D.
89'
89'
Forsythe K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crusaders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Glentoran carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Glentoran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Glentoran, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Glentoran here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 13%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Glentoran | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Crusaders
5:1
Nov 4, 2025 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Crusaders
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Glentoran
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Glentoran
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Glentoran
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Glentoran Compare
Top Goalscorer Russell J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fisher D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Crusaders Compare
Top Goalscorer Forsythe K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Glentoran 35 / 100
Crusaders 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Glentoran Crusaders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crusaders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Glentoran found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Crusaders conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Glentoran stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Glentoran VS Crusaders
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Glentoran
(Home) 08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0 Limavady
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0 Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2 RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3 Glentoran
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4 Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0 Limavady
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2 RFS
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4 Kilmarnock
24 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 1 TNS
20 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 4
Crusaders
(Away) 07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Crusaders
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0 Dundela
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1 Newington FC
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1 Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0 Glenavon
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Crusaders
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1 Crusaders
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Crusaders
28 Apr
Annagh
2 : 3 Crusaders
18 Apr
Glenavon
0 : 1 Crusaders
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
