Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bonner

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Sun, May 5, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Glesch/Paffendorf host Bonner in the Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Glesch/Paffendorf have averaged 0.71 scored and 2.76 conceded recently, against Bonner's 1.69 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Bonner slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.36, favoring Bonner. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
20%
Draws
80%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonner come out ahead of Glesch/Paffendorf on wins alone.
  • Model gives Glesch/Paffendorf a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bonner have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 18%
Bonner Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glesch/Paffendorf Bonner
Matches Played 17 36
Wins 0 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bonner
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Glesch/Paffendorf
2:0
May 7, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bonner
1:5
Oct 14, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonner vs Glesch/Paffendorf
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glesch/Paffendorf 58 / 100
Bonner 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glesch/Paffendorf Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glesch/Paffendorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bonner's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Glesch/Paffendorf scored in 47% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bonner
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Glesch/Paffendorf

(Home)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
Page 1 of 4

Bonner

(Away)
23 Aug
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Bonner
14 Aug
Bonner
2 : 2
Lotte
08 Aug
Rodinghausen
2 : 1
Bonner
31 Jul
Bonner
1 : 2
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
26 Jul
Bonner
1 : 3
Uerdingen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)