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Gloria Baneasa vs Axiopolis Cernavoda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Gloria Baneasa and Axiopolis Cernavoda finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gloria Baneasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gloria Baneasa
15%
Draws
42%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloria Baneasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Axiopolis Cernavoda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gloria Baneasa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gloria Baneasa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Gloria Baneasa Clean Sheet 10%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloria Baneasa Axiopolis Cernavoda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Gloria Baneasa vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
3:1
May 16, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Gloria Baneasa
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Baneasa vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Gloria Baneasa
1:5
Jul 30, 2025 Romanian Cup
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Gloria Baneasa
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloria Baneasa 38 / 100
Axiopolis Cernavoda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloria Baneasa Axiopolis Cernavoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloria Baneasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Axiopolis Cernavoda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Gloria Baneasa's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Axiopolis Cernavoda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gloria Baneasa VS Axiopolis Cernavoda
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloria Baneasa

(Home)
10 Oct
Gloria Baneasa
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
1 : 3
Agricola Borcea
23 Sept
Otelul 2
1 : 2
Gloria Baneasa
19 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
0 : 2
Calarasi
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Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Away)
10 Oct
Gloria Baneasa
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Unirea Branistea
3 : 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)