Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gloria Baneasa vs Sporting Liesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gloria Baneasa host Sporting Liesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gloria Baneasa have averaged 1.17 scored and 2.31 conceded recently, against Sporting Liesti's 2.5 scored and 1.97 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.50) point toward Sporting Liesti. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gloria Baneasa
15%
Draws
42%
Sporting Liesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloria Baneasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Liesti come out ahead of Gloria Baneasa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gloria Baneasa Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloria Baneasa Sporting Liesti
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.17 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloria Baneasa 34 / 100
Sporting Liesti 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloria Baneasa Sporting Liesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gloria Baneasa scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Sporting Liesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Sporting Liesti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Gloria Baneasa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gloria Baneasa VS Sporting Liesti
1 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloria Baneasa

(Home)
10 Oct
Gloria Baneasa
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
1 : 3
Agricola Borcea
23 Sept
Otelul 2
1 : 2
Gloria Baneasa
19 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
0 : 2
Calarasi
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Liesti

(Away)
10 Oct
Sporting Liesti
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)