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Gloria Bistrita vs Ceahlaul

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Jean Padureanu, Buzau
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Chukwu I.
46'
Sub
Anton A. In: Suciu A.
Out: Anton A.
51' Event
Sofroni C.

AI Match Summary

Gloria Bistrita in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gloria Bistrita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gloria Bistrita
15%
Draws
0%
Ceahlaul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloria Bistrita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gloria Bistrita have won more games recently than Ceahlaul.
  • Win probability leans Gloria Bistrita's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Gloria Bistrita Clean Sheet 68%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloria Bistrita Ceahlaul
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.69 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga 2
Ceahlaul vs Gloria Bistrita
0:3
Feb 21, 2026 Liga 2
Gloria Bistrita vs Ceahlaul
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloria Bistrita Compare

Top Goalscorer Chukwu I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sofroni C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ceahlaul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloria Bistrita 95 / 100
Ceahlaul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloria Bistrita Ceahlaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloria Bistrita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloria Bistrita scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Ceahlaul let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Ceahlaul registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gloria Bistrita VS Ceahlaul
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloria Bistrita

(Home)
12 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
2 : 3
Popesti Leordeni
05 Sept
Stefanesti
1 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
02 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
0 : 2
Miercurea Ciuc
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
FC ASA Tg. Mures
1 : 0
Gloria Bistrita
Page 1 of 6

Ceahlaul

(Away)
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 4
Bradul Putna
29 Aug
Viitorul Onesti
5 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Aug
VSK Gyergyo
5 : 0
Ceahlaul
09 May
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 16 5 0 37:13 53
2 Sepsi 21 13 5 3 34:18 44
3 Chindia Targoviste 21 12 3 6 38:20 39
4 FC Bihor 21 12 3 6 40:24 39
5 Voluntari 21 11 6 4 30:16 39
6 Steaua Bucuresti 21 12 3 6 36:27 39
7 FC ASA Tg. Mures 21 11 4 6 37:22 37
8 CSM Resita 21 10 3 8 35:29 33
9 FC Bacau 21 9 6 6 28:26 33
10 Metalul Buzau 21 10 2 9 33:26 32
11 Poli Iasi 21 9 4 8 25:22 31
12 Afumati 21 9 3 9 30:26 30
13 Concordia 21 8 3 10 29:24 27
14 Gloria Bistrita 21 7 5 9 29:29 26
15 CSM Slatina 21 7 5 9 27:28 26
16 CSC Dumbravita 21 7 4 10 25:33 25
17 Selimbar 21 5 5 11 27:32 20
18 Ceahlaul 21 5 3 13 20:43 18
19 CS Din. Bucuresti 21 3 7 11 19:35 16
20 Tunari 21 3 7 11 19:36 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 4 2 15 19:45 14
22 Campulung 21 2 4 15 10:53 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)