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Gloria Bistrita vs Metalul Buzau

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Stadionul Jean Padureanu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gloria Bistrita play Metalul Buzau in the Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gloria Bistrita averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Metalul Buzau averaged 2.32 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Gloria Bistrita won 1, Metalul Buzau won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Gloria Bistrita and 1.69 for Metalul Buzau. This points to a Metalul Buzau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gloria Bistrita
15%
Draws
49%
Metalul Buzau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metalul Buzau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Gloria Bistrita picked up more points recently compared to Metalul Buzau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Gloria Bistrita Clean Sheet 13%
Metalul Buzau Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloria Bistrita Metalul Buzau
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.55 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 2
Gloria Bistrita vs Metalul Buzau
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs Gloria Bistrita
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloria Bistrita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Metalul Buzau Compare

Top Goalscorer Robu V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloria Bistrita 35 / 100
Metalul Buzau 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloria Bistrita Metalul Buzau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Metalul Buzau or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gloria Bistrita attacking → ← attacking Metalul Buzau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloria Bistrita scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Metalul Buzau let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gloria Bistrita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Metalul Buzau lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 60
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC ASA Tg. Mures742116:751
2Metalul Buzau760116:650
3CSM Slatina752013:443
4Poli Iasi73137:641
5Gloria Bistrita722310:834
6CS Din. Bucuresti73049:1025
7Ceahlaul70254:1920
8Campulung70164:1911
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Bacau73047:1142
2Concordia742110:541
3CSM Resita72146:1040
4Afumati72148:937
5CSC Dumbravita72146:732
6Selimbar73138:930
7CSM Satu Mare742116:928
8Tunari73229:1027