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Gloria Ultra vs Somuz Falticeni

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gloria Ultra play Somuz Falticeni in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gloria Ultra averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Somuz Falticeni averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Gloria Ultra won 0, Somuz Falticeni won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 2, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Gloria Ultra and 1.44 for Somuz Falticeni. This points to a Somuz Falticeni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gloria Ultra
24%
Draws
38%
Somuz Falticeni
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Somuz Falticeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Gloria Ultra picked up more points recently compared to Somuz Falticeni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Gloria Ultra Clean Sheet 16%
Somuz Falticeni Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloria Ultra Somuz Falticeni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs Somuz Falticeni
0:1
Aug 30, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Somuz Falticeni vs Gloria Ultra
0:0
May 24, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Somuz Falticeni vs Gloria Ultra
7:0
Apr 27, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs Somuz Falticeni
1:4
Mar 9, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs Somuz Falticeni
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloria Ultra 37 / 100
Somuz Falticeni 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloria Ultra Somuz Falticeni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Somuz Falticeni or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gloria Ultra attacking → ← attacking Somuz Falticeni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloria Ultra scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Somuz Falticeni let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Gloria Ultra went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Somuz Falticeni lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Bacau18142250:1144
2Stiinta Miroslava18114355:2537
3CSM Bacau18103525:2333
4Gloria Ultra1886426:1230
5CSM Vaslui1893635:3230
6Bucovina Radauti1874720:2625
7Somuz Falticeni1846817:2818
8Soimii Gura Humorului18351017:3514
9ACS USV Iasi18331219:4412
10Ceahlaul II18221410:388