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Gloucester City vs Marlow

England England

Southern League Premier South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hanks J.
7' Event
Ball D.
14' Event
Watts E.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 game between Gloucester City and Marlow finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gloucester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gloucester City
15%
Draws
0%
Marlow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marlow haven't matched Gloucester City's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gloucester City taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 68%
Marlow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloucester City Marlow
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.09 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Marlow
7:0
Sep 7, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Marlow vs Gloucester City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Grubb D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hanks J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Marlow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 95 / 100
Marlow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloucester City Marlow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloucester City found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Marlow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Marlow has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gloucester City VS Marlow
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloucester City

(Home)
22 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 0
Hanwell Town
15 Aug
Wimborne
1 : 1
Gloucester City
11 Aug
Bracknell Town
3 : 2
Gloucester City
08 Aug
Gloucester City
0 : 1
Chertsey Town
31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1
Gloucester City
Page 1 of 7

Marlow

(Away)
18 Jul
Marlow
1 : 3
Ashford Town
30 Aug
Chatham
4 : 0
Marlow
26 Apr
Tiverton
3 : 2
Marlow
21 Apr
Marlow
1 : 4
Basingstoke
18 Apr
Gloucester City
7 : 0
Marlow
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Merthyr Town 42 27 10 5 105:46 91
2 AFC Totton 42 25 13 4 85:35 88
3 Walton & Hersham 42 24 11 7 90:54 83
4 Gloucester City 42 21 14 7 81:53 77
5 Dorchester 42 19 18 5 75:48 75
6 Havant & Waterlooville 42 21 11 10 84:49 74
7 Hungerford 42 16 11 15 63:55 59
8 Hanwell Town 42 15 13 14 58:62 58
9 Taunton Town 42 13 18 11 64:58 57
10 Wimborne 42 15 12 15 49:56 57
11 Sholing 42 14 10 18 59:68 52
12 Gosport Borough 42 13 12 17 53:61 51
13 Plymouth Parkway 42 14 8 20 63:77 50
14 Poole Town 42 13 10 19 48:62 49
15 Basingstoke 42 11 15 16 62:64 48
16 Chertsey Town 42 14 5 23 67:82 47
17 Tiverton 42 12 11 19 39:71 47
18 Bracknell Town 42 11 13 18 57:72 46
19 Winchester City 42 12 10 20 54:74 46
20 Swindon Supermarine 42 12 8 22 60:78 44
21 Frome Town 42 9 13 20 39:60 40
22 Marlow 42 5 6 31 45:115 21
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 (Play Offs)