Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gloucester City vs Newport

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Jenkins L.
55' Event
Hemmings A.
63' Event
Cross L.

AI Match Summary

Gloucester City in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gloucester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gloucester City
15%
Draws
39%
Newport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gloucester City have won more games recently than Newport.
  • Gloucester City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 13%
Newport Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloucester City Newport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Gloucester City vs Newport
2:1
Aug 1, 2016 Club Friendly
Gloucester City vs Newport
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hemmings A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cross L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Newport Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 57 / 100
Newport 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloucester City Newport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloucester City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Newport let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gloucester City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gloucester City VS Newport
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloucester City

(Home)
15 Aug
Wimborne
1 : 1
Gloucester City
11 Aug
Bracknell Town
3 : 2
Gloucester City
08 Aug
Gloucester City
0 : 1
Chertsey Town
31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1
Gloucester City
25 Jul
Barry Town
0 : 1
Gloucester City
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Newport

(Away)
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0
Rochdale
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1
Newport
04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4
AS Roma
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2
Newport
28 Jul
Newport
0 : 4
Reading
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