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Gneist IL vs Varegg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Hauge O.
60' Event
Jebanathan A.
61' Event
Stolan M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gneist IL
35%
Draws
45%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Varegg have won more games recently than Gneist IL.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Varegg taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gneist IL Varegg
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.89 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Gneist IL vs Varegg
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs Gneist IL
0:1
Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Gneist IL
3:1
Jun 25, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Gneist IL vs Varegg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Jebanathan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kvamsdal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauge O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stolan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gneist IL 10 / 100
Varegg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gneist IL Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varegg conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Gneist IL found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Gneist IL stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gneist IL VS Varegg
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gneist IL

(Home)
03 Oct
Gneist IL
0 : 5
Djerv 1919
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
07 Sept
Gneist IL
3 : 3
Asane 2
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Varegg

(Away)
03 Oct
Brann 2
1 : 2
Varegg
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
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