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Gnistan vs KuPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gnistan host KuPS in the Veikkausliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Gnistan at 1.75 goals for, 0.75 against; KuPS at 2.13 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Gnistan have won 0 to KuPS's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward KuPS. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gnistan
33%
Draws
27%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS come out ahead of Gnistan on wins alone.
  • Gnistan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KuPS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 16%
KuPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan KuPS
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Gnistan
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Gnistan
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
0:4
Jul 1, 2025 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Gnistan
6:2
Apr 27, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 39 / 100
KuPS 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Gnistan's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

KuPS let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gnistan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS KuPS
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
26 Jul
Inter Turku
1 : 2
Gnistan
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
11 Jul
Gnistan
4 : 2
Mariehamn
04 Jul
Lahti
1 : 0
Gnistan
27 Jun
Gnistan
1 : 1
VPS
Page 1 of 6

KuPS

(Away)
25 Jul
KuPS
3 : 1
VPS
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
18 Jul
SJK
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Jul
KuPS
2 : 3
Vardar
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS17106132:1636
2Inter Turku1787224:1431
3HJK1784528:2028
4Gnistan1784527:2128
5VPS1776424:1627
6AC Oulu1783621:2127
7Lahti1764720:1622
8TPS1764720:2022
9Ilves1764729:3022
10Jaro1736817:3315
11SJK1735919:2714
12Mariehamn1705129:365
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)