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Gnistan vs KuPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

0 - 1
FT
KuPS Logo

KuPS

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Savolainen S.
Assist: Heiskanen S.
5'
Akinyemi A.
57'
Sub
Latonen J. In: Atarah A.
Out: Latonen J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between Gnistan and KuPS finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gnistan
35%
Draws
27%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KuPS come out ahead of Gnistan on wins alone.
  • Gnistan are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan KuPS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Gnistan
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Gnistan
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs KuPS
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Savolainen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 42 / 100
KuPS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gnistan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gnistan scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

KuPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS KuPS
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
07 Oct
Gnistan
0 : 0
Inter Turku
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
Page 1 of 6

KuPS

(Away)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)