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Gnistan vs VPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

1 - 1
FT
VPS Logo

VPS

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Akinyemi A.
36' Event
Smyth L.
Assist: Muzinga J.
46'
Sub
Costa M. In: Ojala J.
Out: Costa M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Gnistan
15%
Draws
20%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VPS lately — more wins on the board than Gnistan.
  • Model gives Gnistan a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 68%
VPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan VPS
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.33 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs VPS
1:1
May 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Gnistan
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Gnistan vs VPS
0:0
Jun 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Gnistan
0:0
Oct 23, 2024 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Gnistan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Akinyemi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyth L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan 86 / 100
VPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

VPS has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Gnistan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

VPS lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan VS VPS
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan

(Home)
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
01 Aug
Gnistan
0 : 1
KuPS
26 Jul
Inter Turku
1 : 2
Gnistan
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
11 Jul
Gnistan
4 : 2
Mariehamn
Page 1 of 6

VPS

(Away)
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
25 Jul
KuPS
3 : 1
VPS
18 Jul
HJK
2 : 1
VPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 19 11 7 1 34:17 40
2 Inter Turku 19 9 8 2 25:14 35
3 HJK 19 9 4 6 29:23 31
4 VPS 20 8 6 6 28:21 30
5 AC Oulu 19 9 3 7 22:22 30
6 Gnistan 19 8 5 6 29:24 29
7 TPS 20 8 5 7 27:22 29
8 Lahti 19 7 5 7 22:16 26
9 Ilves 19 7 4 8 31:31 25
10 SJK 20 4 6 10 24:31 18
11 Jaro 19 3 6 10 18:38 15
12 Mariehamn 20 1 5 14 11:41 8
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)