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Gnistan W vs Aland United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Nurmi A.
31' Event
Tiainen D.
55' Event
Pitko N.

AI Match Summary

Aland United W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
85%
Aland United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gnistan W haven't matched Aland United W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aland United W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aland United W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W Aland United W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 1 1
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.2 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Gnistan W
3:1
Aug 23, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Aland United W
2:3
May 31, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Aland United W
1:4
Mar 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs Gnistan W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiainen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pohjanoksa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Degerstedt E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
Aland United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W Aland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aland United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Gnistan W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Aland United W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Aland United W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS Aland United W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
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Aland United W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)