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Gnistan W vs HJK W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

1 - 3
FT
HJK W Logo

HJK W

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Heroum N.
42'
Karkkainen S.
44' Event
Sarelius K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gnistan W
15%
Draws
85%
HJK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK W lately — more wins on the board than Gnistan W.
  • Win probability leans HJK W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • HJK W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%
HJK W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W HJK W
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 6 23
Draws 1 1
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.21 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Gnistan W
6:1
Aug 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HJK W
1:3
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs HJK W
0:1
May 9, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Gnistan W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Spets W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarelius K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heroum N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
HJK W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W HJK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Gnistan W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

HJK W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

HJK W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS HJK W
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
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HJK W

(Away)
30 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
HJK W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 21 18 1 2 60:18 55
2 KuPS W 21 13 2 6 40:26 41
3 Aland United W 21 13 1 7 53:29 40
4 HPS W 21 11 5 5 31:23 38
5 Ilves W 21 8 1 12 36:42 25
6 Gnistan W 21 5 1 15 28:53 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)