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Gnistan W vs KuPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gnistan W host KuPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Gnistan W have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.36 conceded recently, against KuPS W's 1.97 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Gnistan W have won 0 to KuPS W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.69) point toward KuPS W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gnistan W
20%
Draws
80%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • KuPS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KuPS W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and KuPS W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 13%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gnistan W KuPS W
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
Gnistan W vs KuPS W
0:2
May 22, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs Gnistan W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gnistan W 10 / 100
KuPS W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gnistan W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gnistan W scored in 68% of their last 25 outings.

KuPS W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: KuPS W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gnistan W VS KuPS W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gnistan W

(Home)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 5

KuPS W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
13 Sept
Aland United W
0 : 2
KuPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)