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Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Podgorski M.
50' Event
Wroblewski N.
86' Event
Podgorski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Goczalkowice Zdroj and Polonia Nysa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Nysa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
30%
Draws
34%
Polonia Nysa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goczalkowice Zdroj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Goczalkowice Zdroj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Goczalkowice Zdroj taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 16%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goczalkowice Zdroj Polonia Nysa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa
0:0
Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:1
Apr 24, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Top Goalscorer Wroblewski N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Podgorski M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goczalkowice Zdroj 36 / 100
Polonia Nysa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goczalkowice Zdroj Polonia Nysa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Nysa has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Goczalkowice Zdroj found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Goczalkowice Zdroj stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goczalkowice Zdroj VS Polonia Nysa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057