Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Bos L.
54'
54'
Akinrinbola X.
65'
65'
van Heyningen J.
AI Match Summary
Smitshoek in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smitshoek.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GOES
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Smitshoek haven't matched GOES's recent run of results.
- GOES are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
GOES Clean Sheet 18%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GOES | Smitshoek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
GOES vs Smitshoek
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs GOES
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GOES Compare
Top Goalscorer Lijbers T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Smitshoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Bos L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akinrinbola X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GOES 85 / 100
Smitshoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GOES Smitshoek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GOES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Smitshoek has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
GOES's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
GOES has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
GOES VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
GOES
(Home) 20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1 UNA
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2 GOES
02 Sept
GOES
0 : 1 VV Noordwijk
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
GOES
2 : 1 UNA
02 Sept
GOES
0 : 1 VV Noordwijk
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
16 Aug
GOES
3 : 2 EVV
23 May
GOES
3 : 3 Gemert
Page 1 of 4
Smitshoek
(Away) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
12 Apr
ASWH
3 : 5 Smitshoek
22 Mar
GOES
1 : 3 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
