Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goianesia vs Tupy FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Leo Alves

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Goianesia and Tupy FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goianesia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Goianesia
30%
Draws
29%
Tupy FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goianesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Tupy FC haven't matched Goianesia's recent run of results.
  • Goianesia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Goianesia Clean Sheet 68%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goianesia Tupy FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Goianesia
1:3
Aug 2, 2026 Goiano 2
Goianesia vs Tupy FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goianesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Alves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tupy FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goianesia 77 / 100
Tupy FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goianesia Tupy FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goianesia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tupy FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Goianesia scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Goianesia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goianesia VS Tupy FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Goianesia

(Home)
07 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 3
Goianesia
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
27 Sept
Goianesia
0 : 1
Mineiros
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
19 Sept
Trindade
1 : 0
Goianesia
Page 1 of 6

Tupy FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Trindade
2 : 3
Tupy FC
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Tupy FC 18 5 7 6 18:19 22
7 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 18 2 6 10 15:28 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)