Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goias vs Ceara

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Leopoldino C.
Assist: Lucas Lima
22'
Filipe Machado
26'
Sub
Filipe Machado In: Baldoria
Out: Filipe Machado

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Goias and Ceara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Goias
20%
Draws
38%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Goias carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Goias's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Goias Clean Sheet 20%
Ceara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias Ceara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Ceara
2:0
Aug 13, 2024 Serie B
Goias vs Ceara
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs Goias
1:1
Oct 5, 2022 Serie A Betano
Ceara vs Goias
1:1
Jun 12, 2022 Serie A Betano
Goias vs Ceara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goias Compare

Top Goalscorer Leopoldino C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ceara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 42 / 100
Ceara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ceara let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Goias remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Goias VS Ceara
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Goias

(Home)
26 Jul
America MG
1 : 0
Goias
22 Jul
Goias
1 : 1
Sport Recife
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
12 Jul
CRB
2 : 2
Goias
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

Ceara

(Away)
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Ceara
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)