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Goias vs Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lucas C.
Assist: Silva D.
21'
Sub
Rodrigo Soares In: Marcos Vinicius
Out: Rodrigo Soares
59' Event
Pedrinho
Assist: Para

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Goias and Sao Bernardo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Goias
15%
Draws
45%
Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goias come out ahead of Sao Bernardo on wins alone.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Goias Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goias Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Sao Bernardo
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Goias
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goias Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leopoldino C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goias 32 / 100
Sao Bernardo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goias Sao Bernardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goias scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sao Bernardo conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Goias remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Goias VS Sao Bernardo
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Goias

(Home)
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1
Athletic Club
02 Oct
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Goias
26 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Atletico GO
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
Page 1 of 6

Sao Bernardo

(Away)
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0
Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)