Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goiatuba EC vs EC Sao Jose (PA) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa, Goiatuba
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Lucas Grafite
84' Event
Diney
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Goiatuba EC
35%
Draws
18%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goiatuba EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Jose (PA) haven't matched Goiatuba EC's recent run of results.
  • Goiatuba EC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Goiatuba EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Goiatuba EC Clean Sheet 68%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goiatuba EC EC Sao Jose (PA)
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.07 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:1
Aug 26, 2026 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Goiatuba EC
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Serie D
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Goiatuba EC
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Serie D
Goiatuba EC vs EC Sao Jose (PA)
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goiatuba EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Grafite
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goiatuba EC 86 / 100
EC Sao Jose (PA) 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goiatuba EC EC Sao Jose (PA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goiatuba EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goiatuba EC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Goiatuba EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

EC Sao Jose (PA) let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Goiatuba EC VS EC Sao Jose (PA)
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Goiatuba EC

(Home)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0
ASA
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 6

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Away)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
CSA 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Goiatuba EC 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1