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Stadium Background

Gol Gohar vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Gol Gohar Sport Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Esmaeili F.
44'
Akvan A.
46'
Sub
Obounet M. In: Ashouri A.
Out: Obounet M.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Gol Gohar and Fajr Sepasi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gol Gohar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gol Gohar
39%
Draws
30%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gol Gohar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gol Gohar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gol Gohar Clean Sheet 18%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gol Gohar Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Aug 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Gol Gohar
1:0
Apr 26, 2024 Hazfi Cup
Fajr Sepasi vs Gol Gohar
0:3
Feb 13, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Oct 25, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Gol Gohar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gol Gohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tikdari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shahrabadi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gol Gohar 32 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gol Gohar Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gol Gohar scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Fajr Sepasi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gol Gohar VS Fajr Sepasi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915