Sport Picks
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Moreton City Excelsior
Australia
NPL Queensland Croatian Sports Centre, Carrara 
Match Events
2'
2'
Walters M.
25'
25'
Cobb T.
65'
65'
Ludwik A.
AI Match Summary
Gold Coast Knights SC in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gold Coast Knights SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gold Coast Knights SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Moreton City Excelsior lately — more wins on the board than Gold Coast Knights SC.
- Gold Coast Knights SC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 10%
Moreton City Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gold Coast Knights SC | Moreton City Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Moreton City Excelsior
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights SC
4:1
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast Knights SC
4:0
May 2, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Moreton City Excelsior
1:0
Aug 2, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Moreton City Excelsior
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gold Coast Knights SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Cobb T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ludwik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Moreton City Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Walters M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gold Coast Knights SC 40 / 100
Moreton City Excelsior 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gold Coast Knights SC Moreton City Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gold Coast Knights SC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Moreton City Excelsior conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Gold Coast Knights SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gold Coast Knights SC VS Moreton City Excelsior
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gold Coast Knights SC
(Home) 25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0 Brisbane City
07 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Queensland Lions
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0 Brisbane City
07 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Queensland Lions
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
Moreton City Excelsior
(Away) 18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Peninsula
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
20 Jun
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Wynnum Wolves
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Moreton City Excelsior
16 Jun
Rochedale
2 : 5 Moreton City Excelsior
05 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
09 May
Queensland Lions
2 : 0 Moreton City Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 50:20 | 44 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 45:22 | 43 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 49:30 | 36 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 42:28 | 34 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 41:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31:35 | 29 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 33:31 | 28 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 34:39 | 23 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 28:55 | 16 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 29:48 | 15 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 27:46 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
