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Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Croatian Sports Centre
Tue, Jul 7, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Gold Coast Knights SC host Queensland Lions in the NPL Queensland. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Queensland Lions have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Gold Coast Knights SC have conceded 1.63 and scored 2.5. Past meetings favor Gold Coast Knights SC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.75 - 2.31) back Queensland Lions to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gold Coast Knights SC
22%
Draws
60%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Queensland Lions has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gold Coast Knights SC.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Queensland Lions.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Queensland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Knights SC Queensland Lions
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 16 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.5 3
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights SC
2:2
May 30, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights SC
3:1
Feb 21, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Queensland Lions
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Knights SC 18 / 100
Queensland Lions 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Knights SC Queensland Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gold Coast Knights SC scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Queensland Lions let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Gold Coast Knights SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Queensland Lions lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Knights SC VS Queensland Lions
2.5 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Peninsula17132243:2041
2Queensland Lions16122247:1838
3Moreton City Excelsior17102543:2532
4Gold Coast Knights SC1592438:2429
5Eastern Suburbs1791732:2628
6Brisbane City1674537:3825
7Wynnum Wolves1774629:3425
8Olympic FC1762931:3520
9Rochedale17431026:4115
10Gold Coast Utd15311118:3210
11Magic United TFA FC16311218:4910
12Brisbane Roar U2316301321:419