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Gold Coast Knights SC vs Brisbane Roar U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Croatian Sports Centre
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Match Events

12' Event
Morris A.
49' Event
Morris A.
86' Event
Russell J.

AI Match Summary

Gold Coast Knights SC in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gold Coast Knights SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gold Coast Knights SC
39%
Draws
30%
Brisbane Roar U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gold Coast Knights SC lately — more wins on the board than Brisbane Roar U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 14%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Knights SC Brisbane Roar U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:2
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:1
Jul 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Brisbane Roar U23
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC
0:1
Apr 5, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Brisbane Roar U23
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Russell J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morita Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morris A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Knights SC 31 / 100
Brisbane Roar U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Knights SC Brisbane Roar U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Roar U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gold Coast Knights SC scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Gold Coast Knights SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Knights SC VS Brisbane Roar U23
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC18103541:2733
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC18621031:3820
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd18411322:3613
12Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313