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Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane City

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Coplick Family Sports Park, Tallebudgera
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Tipaldo C.
35' Event
Marsh A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Gold Coast Utd and Brisbane City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brisbane City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gold Coast Utd
22%
Draws
60%
Brisbane City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Brisbane City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brisbane City come out ahead of Gold Coast Utd on wins alone.
  • Model gives Brisbane City a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gold Coast Utd Brisbane City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane City
0:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane City
2:0
May 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Utd
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Utd
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Brisbane City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gold Coast Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brisbane City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tipaldo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marsh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gold Coast Utd 18 / 100
Brisbane City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gold Coast Utd Brisbane City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane City let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Gold Coast Utd scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Gold Coast Utd has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gold Coast Utd VS Brisbane City
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gold Coast Utd

(Home)
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0
Olympic FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
28 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior
20 Jun
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 4
Brisbane Roar U23
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Brisbane City

(Away)
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3
Brisbane City
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
0 : 0
Brisbane City
05 Jul
Brisbane City
1 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
27 Jun
Magic United TFA FC
3 : 5
Brisbane City
20 Jun
Eastern Suburbs
3 : 1
Brisbane City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC18103541:2733
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC19721034:3923
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd18411322:3613
12Brisbane Roar U2319411427:4613
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)