Sport Picks
Gold Coast Utd vs Peninsula
Australia
NPL Queensland Coplick Family Sports Park, Tallebudgera 
Match Events
32'
32'
Gibbs K.
43'
43'
Lucas C.
72'
72'
Joseph N.
AI Match Summary
Peninsula in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gold Coast Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Peninsula lately — more wins on the board than Gold Coast Utd.
- Model gives Gold Coast Utd a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Peninsula here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gold Coast Utd | Peninsula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Peninsula
0:4
Mar 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Gold Coast Utd
4:2
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Gold Coast Utd
7:0
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Peninsula
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Peninsula
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gold Coast Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Peninsula Compare
Top Goalscorer Joseph N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gibbs K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gold Coast Utd 84 / 100
Peninsula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gold Coast Utd Peninsula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gold Coast Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Gold Coast Utd scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Peninsula let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Gold Coast Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gold Coast Utd VS Peninsula
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gold Coast Utd
(Home) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0 Olympic FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 4
Peninsula
(Away) 12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2 Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2 Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1 Peninsula
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2 Peninsula
01 Aug
Queensland Lions
1 : 0 Peninsula
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 2 Peninsula
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
