Sport Picks
Gold Coast Utd vs Rochedale
Australia
NPL Queensland Coplick Family Sports Park, Tallebudgera 
Match Events
26'
26'
Thomson-King R.
52'
52'
Porter J.
62'
62'
Reardon A.
AI Match Summary
Gold Coast Utd in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gold Coast Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gold Coast Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rochedale have won more games recently than Gold Coast Utd.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Gold Coast Utd taking it.
- Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gold Coast Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gold Coast Utd | Rochedale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Rochedale
4:0
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Utd
3:4
Aug 7, 2024 NPL Queensland
Rochedale vs Gold Coast Utd
2:0
Apr 17, 2024 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Rochedale
2:2
Aug 20, 2023 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Utd vs Rochedale
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gold Coast Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomson-King R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Porter J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Rochedale Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gold Coast Utd 84 / 100
Rochedale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gold Coast Utd Rochedale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gold Coast Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rochedale has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Gold Coast Utd's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Gold Coast Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gold Coast Utd VS Rochedale
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gold Coast Utd
(Home) 14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Brisbane City
2 : 0 Gold Coast Utd
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1 Gold Coast Utd
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0 Gold Coast Knights SC
18 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
0 : 1 Queensland Lions
12 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
3 : 0 Olympic FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3 Magic United TFA FC
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Rochedale
(Away) 14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1 Rochedale
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1 Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 3 Brisbane City
14 Jul
Rochedale
1 : 2 SD Raiders
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14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2 Rochedale
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1 Rochedale
10 Jul
Brisbane Roar U23
4 : 1 Rochedale
03 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
1 : 1 Rochedale
21 Jun
Queensland Lions
2 : 1 Rochedale
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queensland Lions | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:22 | 53 |
| 2 | Peninsula | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 49:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 51:35 | 39 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brisbane City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 47:48 | 34 |
| 6 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 34:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:43 | 26 |
| 9 | Magic United TFA FC | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 33:59 | 22 |
| 10 | Rochedale | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 34:52 | 21 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 32:52 | 16 |
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)
