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Golden Lion vs Franciscain

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Golden Lion play Franciscain in the Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Golden Lion averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Franciscain averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. In past meetings, Golden Lion won 0, Franciscain won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Golden Lion and 1.38 for Franciscain. This points to a Franciscain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Golden Lion
15%
Draws
51%
Franciscain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Golden Lion picked up more points recently compared to Franciscain.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 17%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Lion Franciscain
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 24
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.23 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Franciscain
1:4
Oct 19, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Golden Lion
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Golden Lion
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Franciscain
1:2
May 4, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs Franciscain
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Lion 34 / 100
Franciscain 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Lion Franciscain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Franciscain or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Golden Lion attacking → ← attacking Franciscain

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Golden Lion scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Franciscain let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Golden Lion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Franciscain lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 75
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50