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Golden Lion vs New Star Ducos Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019 game between Golden Lion and New Star Ducos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Golden Lion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Golden Lion
35%
Draws
24%
New Star Ducos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Golden Lion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Golden Lion come out ahead of New Star Ducos on wins alone.
  • Golden Lion are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Golden Lion here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 20%
New Star Ducos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Lion New Star Ducos
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.58 0.7
Goals Conceded 1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs New Star Ducos
0:1
Sep 21, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Golden Lion
0:4
May 11, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs New Star Ducos
2:0
Dec 8, 2018 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Golden Lion
0:2
Mar 10, 2018 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Golden Lion
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Lion 40 / 100
New Star Ducos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Lion New Star Ducos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Golden Lion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Golden Lion's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: New Star Ducos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Golden Lion has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Golden Lion VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Lion

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Riviere-Pilote
0 : 1
Golden Lion
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
Club Peleen
1 : 2
Golden Lion
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
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New Star Ducos

(Away)
21 May
Essor-Prechotain
1 : 0
New Star Ducos
14 May
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
US Riveraine
07 May
New Star Ducos
0 : 0
Club Colonial
30 Apr
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 1
New Star Ducos
23 Apr
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
Aiglon Lamentin
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