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Golden Lion vs RC Saint Joseph Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 Stade Henri-Murano, Saint-Joseph
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AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Golden Lion and RC Saint Joseph finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RC Saint Joseph.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Golden Lion
15%
Draws
58%
RC Saint Joseph
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RC Saint Joseph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RC Saint Joseph come out ahead of Golden Lion on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans RC Saint Joseph's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Golden Lion Clean Sheet 12%
RC Saint Joseph Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Lion RC Saint Joseph
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 25
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 0
Goals Scored 2.07 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs RC Saint Joseph
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Golden Lion
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs RC Saint Joseph
3:3
Nov 9, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Golden Lion
1:4
Feb 3, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Lion vs RC Saint Joseph
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Lion 10 / 100
RC Saint Joseph 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Lion RC Saint Joseph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Saint Joseph Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Golden Lion scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Golden Lion remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: RC Saint Joseph conceded in 30% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Golden Lion VS RC Saint Joseph
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Lion

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Riviere-Pilote
0 : 1
Golden Lion
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
Club Peleen
1 : 2
Golden Lion
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
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RC Saint Joseph

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Club Peleen
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Emulation
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
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