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Golemo Konjari vs Vardar

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tchimbembe W.
27' Event
Bayo F.
44' Event
Talevski M.

AI Match Summary

Vardar in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Golemo Konjari
20%
Draws
80%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vardar lately — more wins on the board than Golemo Konjari.
  • Win probability leans Vardar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Golemo Konjari Clean Sheet 10%
Vardar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golemo Konjari Vardar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 27 8
Goals Scored 0.53 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Golemo Konjari vs Vardar
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Golemo Konjari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchimbembe W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bayo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.27
Avg xA / game 2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golemo Konjari 10 / 100
Vardar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golemo Konjari Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Golemo Konjari found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Vardar conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Golemo Konjari VS Vardar
1 Goals Scored 1.88
5.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Golemo Konjari

(Home)
23 May
Teteks
7 : 2
Golemo Konjari
16 May
Golemo Konjari
1 : 6
FK Skopje
10 May
Ohrid
3 : 0
Golemo Konjari
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Golemo Konjari
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Vardar

(Away)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
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