Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gombe vs Adamawa Utd

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL Pantami Stadium, Gombe
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Gombe and Adamawa Utd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gombe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gombe
20%
Draws
38%
Adamawa Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Gombe haven't matched Adamawa Utd's recent run of results.
  • Gombe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Gombe Clean Sheet 20%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gombe Adamawa Utd
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Gombe
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 NNL
Gombe vs Adamawa Utd
1:0
Oct 3, 2018 NNL
Gombe vs Adamawa Utd
4:0
May 23, 2018 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Gombe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gombe 42 / 100
Adamawa Utd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gombe Adamawa Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Adamawa Utd conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Gombe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gombe scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gombe VS Adamawa Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gombe

(Home)
01 Jun
Enyimba International
1 : 0
Gombe
22 Apr
Gombe
2 : 0
Ranchers Bees
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
08 Mar
Gombe
1 : 1
Yobe Stars
27 Feb
Kebbi
0 : 0
Gombe
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Adamawa Utd

(Away)
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
De Sapele Lion
0 : 1
Adamawa Utd
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
13 Mar
Kebbi
2 : 1
Adamawa Utd
07 Mar
Adamawa Utd
1 : 0
Bichi First
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Lagos1685326:1329
2Beyond Limits FC1677223:1328
3Heartland FC1683521:1727
4Smart City1683521:1927
5Sunshine Stars1674518:1425
6Edel FC1662814:2020
7Crown FC1644818:1916
8Abia Comets1643916:3115
9Gateway United16331013:2412
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
2Akwa United18112523:1335
3Ekiti United18100821:1730
4Stormers1882824:2626
5Abakaliki1874719:1725
6Solution1881918:2225
7Godswill Akpabio1866627:2424
8Rovers FC18711015:2122
9Osun United18621016:2420
10First Bank18431115:3115
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doma United1482418:1126
2Lobi1472512:1023
3Basira1463517:1421
4Kada Warriors1455411:920
5Sokoto United145369:1118
6ABS1452710:1617
7Mighty Jets1451814:1616
8City FC Abuja1444610:1416
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ranchers Bees1262411:920
2Adamawa Utd1260612:1118
3Jigawa Golden Stars1253412:1518
4Yobe Stars1252514:1317
5Kebbi1251611:1116
6Bichi First1243511:915
7Gombe124358:1115
8Sporting Supreme00000:00
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)