Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gombe vs Adamawa Utd

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL Pantami Stadium, Gombe
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Gombe and Adamawa Utd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gombe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gombe
20%
Draws
51%
Adamawa Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Adamawa Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gombe haven't matched Adamawa Utd's recent run of results.
  • Gombe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Gombe Clean Sheet 20%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gombe Adamawa Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Gombe
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 NNL
Gombe vs Adamawa Utd
1:0
Oct 3, 2018 NNL
Gombe vs Adamawa Utd
4:0
May 23, 2018 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Gombe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gombe 42 / 100
Adamawa Utd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gombe Adamawa Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Adamawa Utd conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Gombe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gombe scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gombe VS Adamawa Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gombe

(Home)
01 Jun
Enyimba International
1 : 0
Gombe
22 Apr
Gombe
2 : 0
Ranchers Bees
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
08 Mar
Gombe
1 : 1
Yobe Stars
27 Feb
Kebbi
0 : 0
Gombe
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Adamawa Utd

(Away)
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
De Sapele Lion
0 : 1
Adamawa Utd
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
13 Mar
Kebbi
2 : 1
Adamawa Utd
07 Mar
Adamawa Utd
1 : 0
Bichi First
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)