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Goncalense vs Campo Grande

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Vieira L.

AI Match Summary

Campo Grande in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Campo Grande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Goncalense
30%
Draws
39%
Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Goncalense haven't matched Campo Grande's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Goncalense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goncalense Campo Grande
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Campo Grande
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Goncalense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goncalense 42 / 100
Campo Grande 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goncalense Campo Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Goncalense scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Campo Grande has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Goncalense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Goncalense VS Campo Grande
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Goncalense

(Home)
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

Campo Grande

(Away)
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)