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Goncalense vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 game between Goncalense and Niteroiense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Goncalense
35%
Draws
42%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Niteroiense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Niteroiense taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 20%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goncalense Niteroiense
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.81 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Niteroiense
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Niteroiense
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goncalense 20 / 100
Niteroiense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goncalense Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Goncalense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Niteroiense conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Goncalense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Goncalense VS Niteroiense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Goncalense

(Home)
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Bonsucesso
1 : 1
Goncalense
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Niteroiense

(Away)
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duque de Caxias 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Artsul 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Niteroiense 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Campo Grande 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Goncalense 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
6 Goytacaz 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
7 Serrano FC 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
8 Macae 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
9 Sao Cristovao 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
10 Nova Cidade 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 AA Carapebus 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
12 Audax RJ 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)