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Gondomar vs Ferreira de Aves

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 game between Gondomar and Ferreira de Aves finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gondomar
30%
Draws
47%
Ferreira de Aves
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferreira de Aves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gondomar come out ahead of Ferreira de Aves on wins alone.
  • Gondomar are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 20%
Ferreira de Aves Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar Ferreira de Aves
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.84 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Ferreira de Aves vs Gondomar
0:4
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gondomar vs Ferreira de Aves
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 36 / 100
Ferreira de Aves 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar Ferreira de Aves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferreira de Aves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gondomar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gondomar scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gondomar VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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Ferreira de Aves

(Away)
08 May
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Ferreira de Aves
01 May
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
Castro Daire
24 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
10 Apr
Ferreira de Aves
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
03 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Ferreira de Aves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 18 13 4 1 29:14 43
2 Leca 18 12 3 3 36:15 39
3 Gondomar 18 10 3 5 34:19 33
4 Castro Daire 18 9 5 4 25:15 32
5 SC Espinho 18 8 5 5 24:13 29
6 Santa Cruz Alvarenga 18 5 5 8 13:16 20
7 Valadares Gaia FC 18 5 5 8 22:20 20
8 Uniao de Coimbra 18 4 4 10 17:29 16
9 Ferreira de Aves 18 3 3 12 6:35 12
10 CD Gouveia 18 1 3 14 8:38 6
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)