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Gondomar vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Martelo P.
(Penalty)
28'
Barge G.
66' Event
Richard

AI Match Summary

Leca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gondomar
30%
Draws
41%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leca have won more games recently than Gondomar.
  • Model gives Gondomar a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 13%
Leca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar Leca
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 13 22
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.75 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Leca
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Gondomar
3:2
Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs Leca
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Gondomar
0:2
Jan 23, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leca vs Gondomar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gondomar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 40 / 100
Leca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gondomar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gondomar found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Leca
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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Leca

(Away)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)