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Gondomar vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 game between Gondomar and SC Espinho finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gondomar
20%
Draws
51%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Espinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 19%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar SC Espinho
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.68 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Gondomar vs SC Espinho
1:1
Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gondomar vs SC Espinho
1:6
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
1:0
Nov 22, 2020 Taça de Portugal
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 32 / 100
SC Espinho 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gondomar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gondomar scored in 53% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: SC Espinho conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gondomar VS SC Espinho
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
Page 1 of 7

SC Espinho

(Away)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 18 13 4 1 29:14 43
2 Leca 18 12 3 3 36:15 39
3 Gondomar 18 10 3 5 34:19 33
4 Castro Daire 18 9 5 4 25:15 32
5 SC Espinho 18 8 5 5 24:13 29
6 Santa Cruz Alvarenga 18 5 5 8 13:16 20
7 Valadares Gaia FC 18 5 5 8 22:20 20
8 Uniao de Coimbra 18 4 4 10 17:29 16
9 Ferreira de Aves 18 3 3 12 6:35 12
10 CD Gouveia 18 1 3 14 8:38 6
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)