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Gondomar vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2021/2022 game between Gondomar and SC Espinho finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gondomar
33%
Draws
40%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gondomar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SC Espinho a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 16%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gondomar SC Espinho
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.38 2
Goals Conceded 1 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Gondomar vs SC Espinho
1:1
Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gondomar vs SC Espinho
1:6
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
1:0
Nov 22, 2020 Taça de Portugal
SC Espinho vs Gondomar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gondomar 28 / 100
SC Espinho 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gondomar SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gondomar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gondomar scored in 58% of their last 45 games.

Defensive concern: SC Espinho conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gondomar VS SC Espinho
0.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.67
38% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Gondomar

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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SC Espinho

(Away)
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
30 Apr
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Gondomar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros18134129:1443
2Leca18123336:1539
3Gondomar18103534:1933
4Castro Daire1895425:1532
5SC Espinho1885524:1329
6Santa Cruz Alvarenga1855813:1620
7Valadares Gaia FC1855822:2020
8Uniao de Coimbra18441017:2916
9Ferreira de Aves1833126:3512
10CD Gouveia1813148:386
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)