Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gonio vs Betlemi Keda

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kasrelishvili J.
56'
Suladze A.
56'
Suladze A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Gonio and Betlemi Keda finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gonio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gonio
15%
Draws
36%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gonio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gonio come out ahead of Betlemi Keda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gonio a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Gonio Clean Sheet 20%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gonio Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.47 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Liga 3
Gonio vs Betlemi Keda
3:0
Nov 7, 2024 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Gonio
2:3
May 17, 2024 Liga 3
Gonio vs Betlemi Keda
1:2
Jul 23, 2023 Georgian Cup
Betlemi Keda vs Gonio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gonio Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasrelishvili J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Betlemi Keda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gonio 85 / 100
Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gonio Betlemi Keda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gonio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Betlemi Keda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Gonio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Betlemi Keda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gonio VS Betlemi Keda
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gonio

(Home)
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gonio
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Betlemi Keda

(Away)
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)