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Good Luck vs Samaritaine

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2017/2018 game between Good Luck and Samaritaine finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Good Luck
15%
Draws
85%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samaritaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samaritaine come out ahead of Good Luck on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Samaritaine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Good Luck Clean Sheet 20%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Good Luck Samaritaine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 25 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 3.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs Samaritaine
1:2
Dec 2, 2017 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Good Luck
0:0
Dec 19, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Good Luck
0:0
Sep 5, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs Samaritaine
0:3
Apr 12, 2014 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Good Luck
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Good Luck 10 / 100
Samaritaine 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Good Luck Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Good Luck found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Samaritaine has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Samaritaine lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Samaritaine
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Good Luck

(Home)
13 May
New Club
4 : 1
Good Luck
06 May
Good Luck
0 : 1
Vert Pre
29 Apr
Assaut
3 : 0
Good Luck
22 Apr
Good Luck
0 : 2
Robert
15 Apr
RC Saint Joseph
13 : 0
Good Luck
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Samaritaine

(Away)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
25 Apr
Robert
0 : 3
Samaritaine
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