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Gori vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Hamondi B.
7'
Kalandadze L.
13' Event
Kalandadze L.

AI Match Summary

Gori host FC Gareji Sagarejo in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Gori at 0.63 goals for, 1.88 against; FC Gareji Sagarejo at 1.63 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor FC Gareji Sagarejo slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.75) point toward FC Gareji Sagarejo. FC Gareji Sagarejo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gori
6%
Draws
90%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gori.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FC Gareji Sagarejo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Gori Clean Sheet 12%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori
1:0
Feb 9, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori
3:2
Oct 6, 2020 Liga 3
Gori vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
3:1
Mar 10, 2020 Liga 3
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Gori
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Nachkebia L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalandadze L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aidarashvili D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 10 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori FC Gareji Sagarejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gori scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gori went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gori VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616