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Gori vs Samtredia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gori host Samtredia in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Gori have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Samtredia's 1.87 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Gori have won 1 to Samtredia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.00) point toward Samtredia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gori
20%
Draws
42%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samtredia lately — more wins on the board than Gori.
  • Model gives Samtredia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gori Clean Sheet 10%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gori Samtredia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Gori
1:0
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Samtredia
2:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Gori
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gori 22 / 100
Samtredia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gori Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gori's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samtredia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Gori has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gori VS Samtredia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gori

(Home)
10 Oct
Gori
2 : 1
Merani Martvili
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
Page 1 of 7

Samtredia

(Away)
10 Oct
Samtredia
3 : 0
Bolnisi
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)