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Gorilla vs Etincelles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ndonga Bivula G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Etincelles in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etincelles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gorilla
15%
Draws
45%
Etincelles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorilla lately — more wins on the board than Etincelles.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Etincelles
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etincelles
0:1
May 26, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etincelles
0:4
May 22, 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs Gorilla
1:6
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gorilla
0:0
May 12, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etincelles
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 41 / 100
Etincelles 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Etincelles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorilla scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Etincelles has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gorilla went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Etincelles
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

Etincelles

(Away)
10 Oct
Bugesera
2 : 0
Etincelles
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
7 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
8 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
12 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)