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Gorilla vs Etincelles

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorilla host Etincelles in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Gorilla have averaged 1.06 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Etincelles's 1.03 scored and 1.44 conceded. Head-to-head, Gorilla have won 3 to Etincelles's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 26, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.50 - 1.19) back Gorilla to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gorilla
20%
Draws
42%
Etincelles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorilla lately — more wins on the board than Etincelles.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Gorilla taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 20%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Etincelles
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etincelles
0:4
May 22, 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs Gorilla
1:6
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gorilla
0:0
May 12, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etincelles
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gorilla
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 49 / 100
Etincelles 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Etincelles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorilla scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Etincelles has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gorilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Etincelles
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

Etincelles

(Away)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Merreikh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al-Hilal Omdurman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 APR 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Rayon Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Mukura Victory Sports 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etincelles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Kiyovu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Police 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 AS Kigali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Gicumbi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Amagaju 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Musanze 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Marines 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Sunrise 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Etoile de L'Est 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Bugesera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Gasogi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Gorilla 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)