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Gorilla vs Police

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

1 - 1
FT
Police Logo

Police

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gorilla
15%
Draws
37%
Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorilla have won more games recently than Police.
  • Model gives Gorilla a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%
Police Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilla Police
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.06 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Police
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Police vs Gorilla
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Police
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Police vs Gorilla
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Police
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilla 59 / 100
Police 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilla Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Gorilla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Police let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gorilla VS Police
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilla

(Home)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

Police

(Away)
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)