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Gorki vs Osipovichi

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorki play Osipovichi in the Division 2 - Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gorki averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Osipovichi averaged 1.54 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. In past meetings, Gorki won 2, Osipovichi won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 29, 2020 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Gorki and 1.18 for Osipovichi. This points to a Gorki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gorki
15%
Draws
35%
Osipovichi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gorki picked up more points recently compared to Osipovichi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Gorki Clean Sheet 20%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki Osipovichi
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.35 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.36

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Gorki vs Osipovichi
3:1
May 30, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Osipovichi vs Gorki
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Latyshev Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shelkovskiy V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Konovalov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 49 / 100
Osipovichi 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki Osipovichi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gorki or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gorki attacking → ← attacking Osipovichi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorki scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Osipovichi let in goals in 87% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gorki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Osipovichi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dnepr Mogilev201901105:957
2Petrikov20161380:1649
3Osipovichi20121744:3537
4Gorki20105535:2135
5Viktoria Maryina Gorka2094743:3731
6ML Vitebsk2093846:4530
7SMIavtotrans Smolevichi20821045:5326
8BumProm Gomel20731029:5124
9Polotsk20411527:7813
10Energetik-BGATU20231528:599
11Zhlobin20211714:927