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Gorki vs Ostrovets

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2023/2024
Gorki Logo

Gorki

0 - 1
FT
Ostrovets Logo

Ostrovets

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kupnevskiy D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Ostrovets advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Gorki
15%
Draws
64%
Ostrovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Gorki haven't matched Ostrovets's recent run of results.
  • Ostrovets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ostrovets arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ostrovets, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gorki Clean Sheet 15%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki Ostrovets
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.35 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2023 Belarusian Cup
Gorki vs Ostrovets
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Ostrovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Kupnevskiy D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 10 / 100
Ostrovets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki Ostrovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gorki scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Ostrovets let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gorki stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ostrovets
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorki

(Home)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 7

Ostrovets

(Away)
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
29 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0
Volna Pinsk
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Vitebsk 3
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk 0
Volna Pinsk 6
TBD -
Slutsk -
Novaya Pripyat 2
ML Vitebsk 11
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Smorgon 2 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 11
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Urozhaynaya 0
Niva Dolbizno 6
TBD -
Naftan -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 0
FK Lida 1
TBD -
Zhodino -
Ivatsevichi 3
Orsha 0
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 1
BumProm Gomel 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
FK Miory 3
Torpeda Bobruisk 0
TBD -
BATE -
Gorki 0
Ostrovets 1
TBD -
Smorgon -
Leskhoz 1
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 2
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Fakel Novogrudok 1
Osipovichi 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
FK Kobrin 0
FK Baranovici 4
TBD -
Neman -
Traktor Minsk 1
FC Slonim 2
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Partizan Salihorsk 0
Molodechno 1
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Neman Mosty 0
Dnepr Mogilev 5
TBD -
Belshina -
1/16-finals
Vitebsk 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
Volna Pinsk 0
Slutsk 1
ML Vitebsk 1
Isloch Minsk 4
Lokomotiv Gomel 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
Niva Dolbizno 3
Naftan 2
FK Lida 1
Zhodino 3
Ivatsevichi 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 6
BumProm Gomel 0
Dynamo Brest 2
FK Miory 0
BATE 13
Ostrovets 2
Smorgon 0
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 0
Din. Minsk 2
Osipovichi 1
FC Gomel 0
FK Baranovici 0
Neman 2
FC Slonim 1
Slavia Mozyr 2
Molodechno 0
FC Minsk 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
Belshina 1
1/8-finals
Vitebsk 1
Slutsk 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Niva Dolbizno 1
Zhodino 2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Dynamo Brest 1
BATE 3
Ostrovets 1
Din. Minsk 9
Osipovichi 0
Neman 1
Slavia Mozyr 0
FC Minsk 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Quarter-finals
Vitebsk 3
Isloch Minsk 4
Zhodino 2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1
BATE 3
Din. Minsk 4
Neman 4
FC Minsk 0
Semi-finals
Isloch Minsk 2
Zhodino 1
Din. Minsk 1
Neman 2
Final
Isloch Minsk 0
Neman 2