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Gorna vs Beroe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Lokomotiv stadium, Gorna Orjahovica
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gorna host Beroe in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Beroe have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Gorna have conceded 1.47 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Gorna have won 1 to Beroe's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2017, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Beroe. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gorna
35%
Draws
34%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Beroe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gorna Clean Sheet 19%
Beroe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Beroe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 efbet League
Gorna vs Beroe
0:1
Apr 8, 2017 efbet League
Beroe vs Gorna
2:3
Dec 15, 2016 efbet League
Beroe vs Gorna
1:1
Sep 12, 2016 efbet League
Gorna vs Beroe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 31 / 100
Beroe 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gorna's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Beroe let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Beroe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorna

(Home)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)