Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gorna vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Lokomotiv stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kazakov I.
45'
Sub
Raykov T. In: Hristov K.
Out: Raykov T.
58' Event
Kazakov I.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Gorna and Pirin Blagoevgrad finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirin Blagoevgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gorna
22%
Draws
18%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pirin Blagoevgrad's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Gorna have produced (0.88).
  • Win probability leans Gorna's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pirin Blagoevgrad have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gorna Clean Sheet 68%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorna Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Gorna
0:1
Apr 4, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Gorna
2:0
Mar 22, 2021 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Gorna
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanimirov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazakov I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorna 68 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorna Pirin Blagoevgrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Blagoevgrad has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gorna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gorna VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219